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Friday, July 18, 2008

HDD (and SSD) Capacities: Up, Up And Away

Jul 18 2008 1:00AM | Permalink | Email this | Comments (5) |
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It seems like just yesterday (but it was actually 1.5 years ago!) that I was first writing to you about the world's first 1 TByte 3.5" HDD. That five-platter monster from Hitachi might have been record setting, but at 200 GBytes per platter (aka 100 GBytes per side), it wasn't terribly cost-effective, nor was it particularly power-stingy. But, as I pointed out in a November follow-up, you don't necessarily need to be perfect when you're the only game in town!

Hitachi's accomplishment didn't remain sole-sourced long, of course, given the hyper-competitiveness of the HDD industry. Seagate launched a four-platter (250 GByte/platter) configuration in June of 2007, along with a Samsung paper-launch of a three-platter (333 GByte/platter) configuration in that same timeframe. Western Digital waited until late July 2007 to unveil its own four-platter configuration, and recent data suggests that Samsung's products are finally shipping in volume (as well that 1 TByte drives have dipped below $150!).

The last two weeks show that vendors' competitive juices have by no means abated even in the slightest. On July 9th, Hitachi finally got its 1 TByte drive down to a 3-platter configuration, the 7200 RPM Deskstar 7K1000.B, with product shipments forecasted to begin this same month. Until your drive sample arrives, content yourself (or not) with the 'Dawn of the Tera Era' animation clip, a follow-up to my earlier-mentioned (and equally questionable entertainment) Get Perpendicular.

One day later (what a strange coincidence, eh?), Samsung released the world's first 1.5 TByte HDD, high-end member of the 7200.11 product family, scheduled to enter production next month. At 375 GBytes/platter, it hits a new bit-packing peak for PMR (perpendicular magnetic recording) technology. That same generation of magnetic recording translates to half-GByte 5400 and 7200 RPM 2.5" HDDs, which won't appear until some time in the fourth quarter.

And what about the SSD (solid-state drive) alternative? Although SSDs lag their HDD counterparts on both absolute capacity and cost/GByte metrics, suppliers continue striving to at least maintain pace (if not narrow the gap) with the rotating storage mainstay. Witness, for example, Samsung's 128 GByte SSD announcement which coincidentally (or not, again) hit the wire the same day as Hitachi's HDD release. Samsung accomplishes this 2.5" form factor feat by means of MLC (multi-level cell, aka two-bit-per-cell) NAND flash memory which, as I've written many times in the past, roughly doubles the amount of storage capacity achievable for a given amount of silicon square footage on a given process lithography with the tradeoffs of reduced reliability and read/write performance. Samsung hopes to begin producing prototype quantities of a next-generation 256 GByte MLC-based SSD by year end.

By the way, for those of you who might have heard of the recent SSD-vs-HDD power consumption testing done by Tom's Hardware (which they recently revisited and revised, with notably different and more SSD-positive results), I encourage you to (as StorageMojo finally figured out...sigh...) not draw any sort of definitive conclusions. The original testing methodology was fundamentally limited; Tom's Hardware cranked up both systems via a constantly-running benchmark loop and measured which battery got drained first, but they didn't determine how much work got done (i.e. how many iterations of the benchmark had been completed when the battery gave out in each case). In other words: so what if the SSD-based system didn't last quite as long, if it cranked through substantially more work during the time that it was alive as compared to the HDD-based alternative? The read-vs-write and random-vs-sequential access profiles of the benchmark may or may match your application workload's characteristics, either. And anyway, as Micron pointed out in the comments section of StorageMojo's initial (unnecessarily) inflammatory writeup, several of the SSDs were FPGA-based prototypes, and more generally SSD technology is still new enough that the vendors have not yet focused substantial attention on optimizing their hardware and software for minimal power draw.

Let's revisit the HDD-vs-SSD performance and power consumption metrics in a year or so when SSD technology has had a chance to mature a bit, shall we? Come to think of it, that's make a great EDN hands-on cover story or feature article...

Followup: Hitachi's psychedelic 'The Dawn Of The Tera Era' is now on YouTube. Errr...enjoy...???

And then, of course, there's its 'Get Perpendicular' predecessor...


Reader Comments


at 7/18/2008 9:03:35 AM, Meredith Poor said:
I'm still trying to buy my 32Gb SDHC card. Unobtanium.

at 7/18/2008 11:06:59 PM, Gary Davis said:
Brian, I always appreciate your insights in the storage space, as I do Storage Mojo's as well. Just for the sake of more disclosure, while it is true that Tom's Hardware issued a correction and an apology of sorts, it bears further understanding in it's own right. (You did not link directly and I hope your readers will follow your link to the full article. It specifically states that "The conclusion, however, that Flash SSDs are often misleadingly presented as energy savers to increase your battery mileage on notebooks, is not invalidated." Additionally, while you point out with a "sigh" that Storage Mojo "finally figured out" (the flaws in Tom's Hardware testing) you do not mention that they conclude "All workload testing is a compromise - but the preponderance of the evidence is clear: significant - i.e. 40% or better - notebook power advantages just aren’t there." With all due respect this particular tech debate has been polemical from day one, and those polemics have largely been fostered by the SSD/NAND side. I appreciate and share the enthusiasm for what may be. There is great promise in solid state storage. I particularly believe that fundamental reliability is the most prominent. But the promise of this technology as been window-dressed with extraordinary amounts of hyperbole - to the point that readers of the technology press have, i.m.h.o., been diserviced. The blogs are full of disappointed users who have not realized the benefits touted, after paying big premiums to be early adaptors. The truth today is that a PC user wishing to take advanatage of the inherent qualities in flash should consider that they can likely do that with a few gigabytes on a flash card in their rig. There is much work to be done by the SSD purveyors before they can offer a truly competitive product to HDD. I expect this competitiveness will arrive sooner in the enterprise where developments are very interesting, especially insofar as 4Gb SAS is concerned. There is a statement in Micron's response to Tom's Hardware initial report that I agree with completely: They state "Finally, consider that many of today’s applications and operating systems are not optimized for SSDs, but for rotating media. As an example, Vista has a background defrag utility that is not needed, and in fact is not desired for SSDs.” This point is so seldom underscored for the tech readers that I wish to do that now: Any major shift in technology requires an eco-system of development, agreed specifications,and support. Let me offer an example in the recent JEDEC announcement of the formation of the sub-committee pursuing standards on which Micron and Seagate are expected to lead. I am convinced that this infrastructure is evolving for SSDs, and when it matures enough, the results will be another dramatic leap in system performance for the user. That is a very good thing, all hyperbole aside. In the interest of full disclosure my business is data storage, in which hard drives have dominated for years.

at 7/30/2008 3:48:49 PM, Joe James said:
Regardless of how SSDs compare to HDDs in power consumption today (and I think SSDs already have a slight power advantage), there is no question that HDDs will soon be replaced by newer technology, just as film cameras and floppy disks were obsoleted. Nothing the hard drive industry does can change that fact. The next few years will be an interesting time for the storage industry.

at 7/30/2008 8:04:38 PM, Brian Dipert said:
Dear Joe James, spoken like a SSD supplier. Oh wait...you ARE a SSD supplier (Joe's the marketing manager for Super Talent). Joe, in the future, please identify your affiliation within your comments, thanks

at 8/1/2008 3:29:17 PM, dag said:
Brian, This should be "Seagate" not "Samsung" One day later (what a strange coincidence, eh?), Samsung released the world's first 1.5 TByte HDD, high-end member of the 7200.11 product family, dag

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