Global foundries' plan for world domination
Last week I attended the Global Technology Conference, which sounds like something that the United Nations might sponsor but is, in fact, organized by Global Foundries.
Just in case you don’t remember who Global Foundries are, they are the old manufacturing arm of AMD which was spun out (partially, AMD still kept a share) and purchased by ATIC, a financial group based in Abu Dhabi. They since went on to purchase Singapore-based Chartered Semiconductor.
The first thing that surprised me about the conference was just how many people there were there, I’d estimate well over a thousand. There is clearly a lot of interest in the existence of a strong competitor to TSMC and Global seems to be the most likely candidate. They claim to be in the middle of the fastest volume process ramp for 40/45nm, using AMD’s microprocessor line as a yield driver.
Indeed, AMD announced two new microprocessors manufactured using Gobal’s 45nm node: Bulldozer and Bobcat. Bulldozer is oriented to performance and scalability targeted at server farms. Bobcat is tailed for small die-size, low power targeted to portable devices. Both cores are complete re-designs.
A lot of Global’s strategy became clear from the presentations. They are clearly planning to be very aggressive at winning business at the 28nm and 22nm nodes. In fact I would go as far as to say they are “must win.” Abu-Dhabi may have deep pockets and are certainly investing freely, but eventually they will want to see serious profits coming back their way. They are investing a huge amount in process development and are building a big new fab (fab8) in Saratoga NY. They claim their process, which is high-K metal gate (HKMG) gate-first, is 15% more efficient that gate-last processes (take that, TSMC). But I’m not nearly enough of a process expert to have my own opinion. They are using ARM Cortex-A9 as a process driver, which they have already taped out. I’m guessing that because it is synthesizable, it is much easier to use as a process driver than an AMD design, which would otherwise be the expected choice.
Greg Bartlett, senior VP Technology and R&D, had some interesting perspective on what are the drivers of progress. Until about 60nm progress was almost all about improving lithography. That’s not to say that there wasn’t other development (copper interconnect, Hi-K dielectric etc) but the big breakthroughs were thinks like immersion lithography and double-patterning. Then a second driver came online, materials integration: strained silicon, HKMG. And from 32nm onwards 3D integration is going to be a 3rd big driver of value, driving density higher (although there are still some major power challenges to be addressed).
I was in a couple of meetings at DAC about 3D. One of the issues is the scale of the problem. There are a lot of separate problems that need to be solved from floorplanning (with multiple floors), simulating the entire stack of different interconnects, power and thermal analysis (and it’s not all bad, sometimes putting one die on top of another smoothes out hotspots since every die is also a heatsink), process issues (bumping etc) and all need to be solved pretty much simultaneously for it to be useful. It reminds me a bit of tape-automated bonding (TAB) which took much longer to come online than anyone expected for similar reasons. It’s hard to boil an ocean.
B. Pangrle commented:
Paul, interesting article on GLOBALFOUNDRIES.
A few comments and some additional points that your readers may find of interest:
(1) "Indeed, AMD announced two new microprocessors manufactured using Gobal’s 45nm node: Bulldozer and Bobcat."
Bulldozer and Bobcat are actually the names of two new x86 architectures for AMD and not chips. There was more information disclosed about these two new architectures at the Hot Chips conference last month. As far as I’m aware, neither one is slated for Global’s 45nm node. One thing that I did find interesting was that Chekib Akrout mentioned “Ontario” which is a chip and it uses the Bobcat x86 core along with GPU technology. It is scheduled to be one of AMD’s first Fusion chips into production *but* it will be produced using TSMC’s 40nm technology. Chekib even showed a slide that mentioned it was being fabbed at TSMC. As for Bulldozer, the first chips (possibly “Zambezi”?) are slated for 2011 using GLOBAL’s 32nm SOI process.
(2) "They are clearly planning to be very aggressive at winning business at the 28nm and 22nm nodes."
They do appear to be very aggressive. It will be interesting to see how much emphasis is placed on 22nm though. It was unclear from the slides but it might be reasonable to speculate that 22nm will be SOI and perhaps mostly for AMD’s processors and that 20nm will be for the majority of GLOBAL’s customer perhaps like 32nm/28nm are shaping up today. This would also seemingly match up better with TSMC's public roadmap.
(3) "In fact I would go as far as to say they are “must win.” Abu-Dhabi may have deep pockets and are certainly investing freely, but eventually they will want to see serious profits coming back their way."
I agree that at some point Abu-Dhabi will want to see profits coming back their way but I don’t understand the “must win” comment. Investors dealing with a trillion dollar sovereign wealth fund don’t have to worry about Wall Street or maybe anyone else for that matter. They can take a much longer view of this market than is typical of the QoQ culture in the U.S. One percent of one trillion is still ten billion. I think most people try to apply U.S. cultural thinking and have a total misconception of just how deep those deep pockets really are. The Wall Street Journal has reported that ATIC plans to spend $6-$7 Billion on a fab in the UAE to be operated by GLOBALFOUNDRIES and for it to come on line sometime in the 2014-2015 timeframe. The Executive Director of Abu Dhabi's Ecosystem Development, Sami Issa, recently mentioned that their plans for an R&D center were part of their 2030 vision. Win or lose this round, I think GLOBALFOUNDRIES and ATIC are planning to be in this for the long haul.
Dr. Evil commented:
"It’s hard to boil an ocean." Not if you have a "laser...." Mua-ha-ha....















