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How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)

February 24, 2010

You’d need to search pretty hard to find two people more qualified than Jim Hogan and Paul McLellan to advise you on starting an EDA company. Hogan learned the ropes at Cadence under EDA entrepreneurial legend and demi-god Joe Costello and he then went on to sell Artisan to ARM. Hogan’s done some smaller EDA and non-EDA deals as well. McLellan’s list of EDA startups includes Compass Design Automation, Ambit, VaST, Virtutech, and Envis as well as a stint at Cadence. The pair of entrepreneurs obviously loves the EDA business much more than the technology of EDA, which is just fine because that was the subject of their hour-long presentation at DVcon last night. It was an off-Broadway rehearsal for a similar presentation at DAC later this year.

Hogan started the festivities by saying “So, you want to start an EDA company?” With the preliminaries out of the way, McLellan stepped up to the plate and gave the three cardinal rules for starting an EDA company:

  1. Don’t run out of cash
  2. Don’t run out of cash
  3. Don’t run out of cash

Then Hogan stepped back up with some hard realities for the audience. The IPO market is currently moribund and good return on startup investments need a good IPO market. (Hogan cursed US president Obama for not getting the economy in gear, though he’s rooting for the new president.) Failing a good IPO market, the only other exit strategy is a high-value acquisition—which also isn’t happening at this time. Currently, EDA companies are selling for 1.25 to 1.75x enterprise value (annual revenue – cash – debt). It’s trending to 3x, said Hogan, who sees an imminent acquisition cycle by the big EDA players (Cadence, Mentor, Synopsys) because “The big guys have been skipping oil changes” he said.

Although Hogan gave a lot of advice about starting, staffing, and marketing an EDA company (see his presentation here), the thing that most impressed me was his emphasis on small startups positioned for early acquisition. Find a few technical guys who can go without a salary for a year or two (because they each made $20 million in their last successful startup). Beg some free office space from someone with rows of empty cubes (common these days). Don’t hire a salesperson, a marketer, or even administrative help. Just get an idea to the first stage where you can successfully engage an early alpha customer. Get a big EDA player involved, sell the company for two or three million dollars, and split the proceeds. Repeat as needed.

This is a model for an agile mercenary development team that foregoes salary for big paydays every year or two. This idea catches the eye of the big EDA companies who depend on the agility of new, small players for fresh “oil” to keep their development engines turning.

Hogan also had strong advice about the type of EDA a startup you should pursue. “Avoid EDA classic” he said. Anything the big EDA companies already do is nearly unassailable because their superior distribution channel and wide customer base mean that your startup will not be able to dent the status quo unless you create something truly revolutionary. “It’s really, really hard” said Hogan. EDA Classic is anything in the design flow from RTL signoff to mask signoff.

Finally, Hogan and McLellan fully revealed their orientation in this presentation. “Sizzle is the highest leverage marketing point” said Hogan. You need an exciting story in the beginning. You need to convince the world that your chosen product category is the new, new thing no large EDA player can be without. If you succeed, then the big EDA players will start to hear questions from customers and analysts about their strategy and road map in this new category. In short order, there will be a rush to acquire the relevant startups in the category. “Don’t be third to be bought,” cautioned Hogan.

You can be too early. (The first mouse gets killed by the trap and doesn’t get the cheese. The second mouse might get the cheese in that case.)

You can also be too late. (The third mouse doesn’t get the cheese).

There’s a lot of luck involved in the process, concluded Hogan. “You have to have passion about it.”

 

 

Posted by Steve Leibson on February 24, 2010 | Comments (7)

February 26, 2010
In response to: How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)
enterprisevalue commented:

rpc, Steve, Enterprise Value is a measure of a company's value, often used as an alternative to straightforward market capitalization. Enterprise value is calculated as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. Think of enterprise value as the theoretical takeover price. In the event of a buyout, an acquirer would have to take on the company's debt, but would pocket its cash. EV differs significantly from simple market capitalization in several ways, and many consider it to be a more accurate representation of a firm's value. The value of a firm's debt, for example, would need to be paid by the buyer when taking over a company, thus EV provides a much more accurate takeover valuation because it includes debt in its value calculation. Source-Investopedia


February 25, 2010
In response to: How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)
garydpdx commented:

In a bootstrapping scenario, it would be ideal to have fellow entrepreneurs who are secure enough financially to work a year or two without salary. (And from what Steve wrote, I have 'If I Had A Million Dollars' by the Barenaked Ladies stuck in my head!) However, most people don't have that luxury especially those who are unemployed as a result of the passing (?) Great Recession. There should be more discussion on how to make use of that sidelined talent. In TechFlash (a Seattle tech news site emphasizing start-ups), there was a recent piece on an entrepreneur who assembled his software with piecework by people who were unemployed and couldn't join as a founder without a salary. The 'volunteers' sign up for a piece of future equity - with actual contracts, not a handshake or by the word of the founder. Can there be EDA problems that can be solved by creating a tool(s) using that model?


February 25, 2010
In response to: How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)
Steve Leibson commented:

rpc: You've not quoted the article correctly. The enterprise value is a number that merits the multiplier for figuring value. You want to back out the debt because that's not got a positive value for the purposes of enterprise valuation (unless you can do something tricky with taxes). You back out the cash because that's not worthy of a multiplier other than 1. What's left is a truer measure of the company's revenue-generating ability. At least that's what I got from Hogan's talk.


February 25, 2010
In response to: How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)
rpc commented:

"Enterprise value is the value of a company minus its cash plus its debt"...what is he talking about? Should it not be minus the debt plus the cash? Can anyone help me understand this?


February 25, 2010
In response to: How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)
Steve Leibson commented:

Hogan's Heros: You are right to question the wisdom Jim Hogan dished out. Sometimes you are 100% right to challenge the big guys. Just understand that they have tremendous resources to throw at a problem that's already in their sphere of interest, so you'd better have a great idea that's well protected or you'll find out what dancing with an elephant really means. Also, as Jim Hogan pointed out, if you have an idea that works great at 65nm, it might well be a non-starter at 28nm because of the different physics involved. You will need enough cash to ride the bucking physical effects tiger, something Magma did not face when it first started. Jim Hogan's point was not "don't do it". As I wrote, he said "it's really, really hard."


February 25, 2010
In response to: How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)
Hogan's Heros commented:

"Don't do anything the big EDA companies do" Interesting. I guess that would mean people like Apache, Silicon Perspective, Get2Chip, Ambit, Simplex, Plato, Atoptech, Extreme, Mojave, Atrenta, Altos, Sierra, Denali, etc etc etc all got it wrong. Hell even Magma came from this strategy. I would actually argue the best way to make money in EDA is go after a real problem where there is real money, but that the existing guys do not have a long term feasible solution and go and attack them, or where a paradigm shift is coming that makes their product obsolete... while they are busy supporting their current tool, you write their next one for them. The big guys are slow to respond, and may end up just buying you out. It would be interesting to see how many EDA companies succeed by attacking the big 3 head on and beating them, versus trying to go into a market which didn't exist yet.


February 24, 2010
In response to: How to Start Your Very Own EDA Company (Don’t run out of cash)
garydpdx commented:

While IPO's in EDA have been rare as four leaf clovers recently, one severely overlooked story in 2009 was the IPO by Magillem Design Services in late November, 2009. MDS now trades on Euronext.

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